Champions League 1/16
Global 1-4
Fenerbahçe vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
FEN
4 - 1
BEY
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
DWS
3 - 1
FEN
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
ALT
0 - 3
FEN
28%
28%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
FEN
0 - 0
GAL
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1964 |
FEN
2 - 0
TUR
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
DWS
2 - 1
FEY
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 0
DWS
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
DWS
3 - 1
FEN
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
DWS
3 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 3
DWS
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |