Fencibles United vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fencibles United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FEN
4 - 1
WAA
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NRF
0 - 1
FEN
21%
19%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 8
FEN
12%
15%
72%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 2
EAS
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 0
NRF
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 2
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 1
MEL
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
TAK
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
OFC
1 - 7
MEL
9%
13%
78%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |