Felgueiras 1932 vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
1º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
25%
28%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
FEL
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 2
MON
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 0
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
VSC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |