Feirense vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
13º
12º
37
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 62 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 59 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 50 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 50 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 46 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 45 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 43 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 41 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 35 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
45.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 69% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 17% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
FEI
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
FEI
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FEI
0 - 0
VIZ
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
FEI
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
TON
2 - 0
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 3
TON
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
LEX
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
TON
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TON
4 - 1
ACV
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |