Feirense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AVE
3 - 3
FEI
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
3 - 3
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 0
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 2
LEX
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 3
FEI
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
SCF
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
PEN
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |