Feirense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
FEI
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FEI
3 - 0
TRO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BMA
1 - 0
FEI
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FEI
4 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
FEI
26%
29%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 2
PEN
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |