Feirense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
FEI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
FEI
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
40%
27%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |