Feirense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
40%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FEL
0 - 1
FEI
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FEI
3 - 3
EST
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 3
SPB
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 3
FEL
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |