Segunda Liga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 3-1
Feirense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEI
29%
24%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
FEI
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 0
UDL
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
FEI
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEI
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 2
ALV
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 2
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |