Feirense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
PAD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FEI
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 0
NAV
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 0
FEI
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 4
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
EST
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
SCF
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
AVE
35%
30%
36%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 1
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |