Feirense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FEI
2 - 2
OLI
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LEX
3 - 1
FEI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACV
0 - 1
FEI
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FEI
2 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
FEI
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
VSC
3 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
POR
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
CHA
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |