Fehring vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
16º
7º
43
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GNA
0 - 1
FEH
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FEH
2 - 1
SVW
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ILZ
0 - 1
FEH
39%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
UGA
4 - 0
FEH
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FEH
0 - 0
LAF
53%
20%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HGK
2 - 2
UGA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TSH
6 - 5
HGK
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HGK
4 - 1
SVF
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
3 - 2
HGK
31%
22%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HGK
6 - 2
LEB
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |