Fehring vs Kindberg-Mürzhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
14º
10º
11
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 4
FEH
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
2 - 1
ALL
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
4 - 0
FEH
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
1 - 4
ILZ
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
KAL
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kindberg-Mürzhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 3
LEB
13%
16%
72%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 1
KIN
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 2
LAF
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 2
KIN
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 2
KIN
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |