FCV Dender U21 vs Lommel SK U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
11º
9º
24
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
ASE
3 - 1
FCV
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 0
FCV
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 2
OOS
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WAS
2 - 1
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
5 - 3
EXV
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lommel SK U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 1
LIE
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RBR
1 - 5
LOM
58%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 2
EXV
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
STR
3 - 0
LOM
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
LOM
1 - 6
OOS
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |