FCV Dender Sub 21 vs Lierse Kempenzonen Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
11º
9º
20
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
OOS
4 - 0
FCV
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
WAS
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
EXV
8 - 1
FCV
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
STR
5 - 2
FCV
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
3 - 0
RBR
52%
20%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 1
ASE
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 4
OOS
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
LIE
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WAS
1 - 1
LIE
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 3
EXV
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |