FCSR Haguenau vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSR Haguenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
4 - 2
FEI
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ASB
2 - 0
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
FUR
1 - 1
FCS
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
USB
13%
18%
68%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
THL
1 - 1
FCS
47%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PAU
1 - 1
DUN
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |