FCP Pärnu vs TJK Legion II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
2.7%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
89.2%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
7.1%
2-5
2.5%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
5.7%
2-6
1.7%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
15.9%
0-5
6.6%
1-6
3.8%
2-7
1%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
11.5%
0-6
4.4%
1-7
2.2%
2-8
0.5%
3-9
0.1%
-6
7.2%
0-7
2.5%
1-8
1.1%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
3.9%
0-8
1.3%
1-9
0.5%
2-10
0.1%
-8
1.9%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.2%
-9
0.8%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCP Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
12 - 0
FCP
88%
8%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RUC
1 - 4
FCP
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
KAD
3 - 0
FCP
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
FCP
1 - 4
GAN
6%
10%
84%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
TJK Legion II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
TJK
6 - 2
LAH
55%
20%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TJK
5 - 1
NOM
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
TKA
6 - 2
TJK
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
TJK
3 - 1
JKJ
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
TJK
3 - 2
FCT
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |