FCA Troyes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
82.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
NÎM
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
VAL
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
PFC
3 - 2
VAL
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
TOU
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |