PEC Zwolle vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
0 - 3
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 0
ZWO
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
3 - 2
FEY
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
25%
25%
51%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
ZWO
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
FEY
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |