PEC Zwolle vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 1
ZWO
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
ZWO
0 - 2
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
UTR
3 - 1
ZWO
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
24%
22%
53%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
WIL
3 - 0
GAE
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 0
TWE
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 2
WIL
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |