PEC Zwolle vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
17º
12º
51
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
58% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 42% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 45.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
13% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ZWO
0 - 1
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 1
ZWO
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ZWO
0 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
ZWO
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
SPA
34%
25%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
5 - 4
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
FEY
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
8 - 0
KON
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |