PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
17º
12º
24
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
58% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
13% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 1
ZWO
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ZWO
0 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
ZWO
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
SPA
34%
25%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
ZWO
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
NEC
63%
20%
16%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 1
NEC
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GAE
5 - 0
NEC
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |