PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZWO
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ZWO
4 - 2
ADO
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
GRO
4 - 2
ZWO
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
13%
21%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
ADO
2 - 0
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |