PEC Zwolle vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
SCH
34%
25%
42%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 3
ZWO
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 3
ZWO
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AZA
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HER
1 - 5
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 1
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
TWE
3 - 2
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |