PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
17º
13º
6
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 6.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 21% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 16.5% |
|
Next round
|
7.5% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VNZ
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
5 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 2
ZWO
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
ACH
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
4 - 4
FEY
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 3
MON
38%
24%
39%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 0
FEY
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 0
CER
59%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |