PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
3 - 3
ZWO
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 3
ZWO
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
ZWO
0 - 1
HEL
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
HFC
3 - 1
ZWO
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
ZWO
1 - 1
RKC
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCD
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
RKC
1 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 0
BOS
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 1
BVV
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |