PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 1
ZWO
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
ZWO
0 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
VOL
1 - 1
ZWO
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
GRA
4 - 3
ZWO
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ZWO
2 - 1
EIN
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 2
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 0
BVO
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
1 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |