PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1999 |
VOL
1 - 1
ZWO
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ZWO
1 - 0
FCO
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
FCE
3 - 0
ZWO
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ZWO
0 - 1
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
EIN
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
BOS
3 - 3
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 3
BVV
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 1
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 1
RBC
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |