PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZWO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
3 - 1
ADO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NEC
4 - 1
ZWO
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
UTR
3 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
1 - 5
AZA
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |