PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
12º
17º
13º
16
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 63 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 62 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 27% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
4.5% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
ZWO
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZWO
3 - 0
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
ZWO
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 5
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AZA
9 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 3
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |