PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
RJC
3 - 1
ZWO
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
ZWO
1 - 3
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
ZWO
2 - 1
FEY
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
NEC
3 - 1
ZWO
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
AZA
3 - 2
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 0
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
AZA
5 - 2
ADO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 2
AZA
61%
19%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |