PFK Zvyagel vs Lokomotiv Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+203%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
28
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
OBO
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
UCS
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 1
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NYV
4 - 7
FCZ
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
5 - 0
CHA
54%
21%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
MET
5%
11%
84%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
LIV
6%
12%
82%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
4 - 1
FCL
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 0
UCS
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCD
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | +1 |