PFK Zvyagel vs Chayka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
6º
5º
32
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 35 |
3º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 9 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 67.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 2
FCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 5
FCZ
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 0
NYV
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FNB
1 - 1
FCZ
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 3
FCZ
26%
25%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
VAM
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 3
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 0
FKK
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
FKC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |