UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-7
WIT Georgia vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
TRO
6 - 0
WIT
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
RIE
2 - 1
WIT
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
WIT
1 - 0
RIE
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
WIT
0 - 0
DTB
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 3
WIT
34%
30%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
TRO
6 - 0
WIT
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 1
TRO
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 1
TRO
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAN
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |