WIT Georgia vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
10º
6º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
WIT
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 1
KOL
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 4
WIT
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
LOK
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
WIT
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
GAR
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOK
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |