Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
WIT Georgia vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
WIT
4 - 0
MGZ
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SIO
3 - 4
WIT
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DTB
1 - 1
WIT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
WIT
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MEA
0 - 3
WIT
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
NKI
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
NKI
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
GOR
3 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NKP
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |