UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-5
WIT Georgia vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
LOK
3 - 1
WIT
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
SIO
0 - 0
WIT
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
WIT
0 - 0
MZE
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
WIT
1 - 0
GUR
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
WIT
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
LOK
3 - 1
WIT
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GNK
3 - 3
LOK
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LOK
0 - 1
AND
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RAA
0 - 1
LOK
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LOK
0 - 0
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |