FC Western vs Palmerston North Marist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
64.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Western
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NPR
3 - 4
FCW
34%
22%
44%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 3
PNM
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FCW
0 - 3
NAP
8%
13%
80%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
FCW
1 - 0
WAF
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Palmerston North Marist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 3
IBU
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 1
MAS
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 3
PNM
27%
21%
53%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HNW
3 - 2
PNM
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PNM
2 - 4
NAP
5%
12%
83%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |