Waidhofen vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waidhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCW
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
FCW
1 - 0
ADM
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
WIE
3 - 0
FCW
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 0
SCF
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
3 - 1
FCW
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 5
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
5 - 1
BAU
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
4 - 5
SCH
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ADM
3 - 1
BAU
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 4
RAP
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |