Waidhofen vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waidhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
FCW
0 - 2
FJD
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
SIM
0 - 4
FCW
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
FCW
4 - 0
SVS
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
FCW
0 - 0
EIS
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
FCW
1 - 2
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
FAC
2 - 2
BAU
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
BAU
2 - 0
ZWE
64%
20%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
NEU
0 - 0
BAU
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SVS
2 - 1
BAU
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 1
AUS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |