FC Wageningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wageningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
WAG
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 0
WAG
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
RJC
4 - 1
WAG
68%
19%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 1
GAE
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |