Volov Shumen vs Botev Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
15º
4º
9
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
92% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 1 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SHU
0 - 1
CMV
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
SHU
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SHU
0 - 2
CHE
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
SHU
40%
22%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 0
BOT
87%
10%
4%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 2
FCF
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SEP
5 - 0
BOT
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 1
KUB
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
BOT
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -2 |