Volders vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
6º
3º
41
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 25 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 20 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 13 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 12 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 9 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
EBB
3 - 0
FCV
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
FUG
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 1
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KIT
6 - 2
FCV
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 1
KEM
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WAT
7 - 0
STJ
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 1
WAT
13%
19%
69%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
5 - 1
FUG
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 4
WAT
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |