Afragolese vs Puteolana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
AFR
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TNF
3 - 5
AFR
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
TNF
4 - 0
AFR
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AFR
2 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
AFR
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Puteolana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 0
PUT
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
PUT
92%
7%
2%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 1
VIR
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RAA
2 - 1
PUT
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 0
BRI
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |