Afragolese vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
AFR
2 - 1
CYN
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 1
AFR
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 1
AFR
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 1
LAN
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SSC
2 - 0
AFR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
OST
1 - 4
TNF
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OST
1 - 1
ULD
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 1
OST
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OST
2 - 0
APR
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
OST
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |