Afragolese vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
13º
11º
36
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 1
AFR
39%
23%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
AFR
3 - 0
MAR
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCF
1 - 2
AFR
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 2
CAV
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
USB
2 - 2
AFR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
NOC
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NOC
0 - 1
LAV
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOC
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOC
1 - 1
FCF
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 1
NOC
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |