Afragolese vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
13º
11º
33
10º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
AFR
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFR
3 - 2
FCF
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
AFR
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AFR
1 - 2
USB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 1
MOL
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FBC
1 - 1
ASD
22%
27%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
FBC
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FBC
1 - 1
VIR
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NOC
2 - 1
FBC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 2
FBC
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |