Afragolese vs USD Bitonto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
13º
11º
42
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 1
MOL
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 1
AFR
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AFR
0 - 1
ASF
35%
22%
44%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 1
AFR
54%
23%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AFR
2 - 2
MAT
54%
20%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
USB
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USB
1 - 0
NOC
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FBC
1 - 4
USB
33%
25%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
USB
2 - 2
MAR
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
USB
1 - 0
FCF
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |