Afragolese vs Carbonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 1
AFR
27%
21%
53%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 2
AFR
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
AFR
2 - 1
RAA
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
AFR
3 - 1
ARZ
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
AFR
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
LAN
41%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ULD
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MON
3 - 3
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIS
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
LAT
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |