Cup Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Victoria Chișinău vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Chișinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCV
13%
17%
70%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FCV
4 - 1
SPA
80%
12%
9%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 0
FCV
35%
22%
43%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
2 - 0
FCV
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 4
FCD
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
SHF
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
PET
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
FCD
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
2 - 0
FCV
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 2
RIG
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |